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Traders

Shivangroup

0x17da186a1bd44e2c5167dcd4a01ab226da03f3bb

Realised P&L
$-210.96
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$75.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1580.167$26.34+$1.34
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? · Yes0.3900.385$17.77−$0.23
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? · Yes0.1000.095$10.45−$0.55
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.310$9.12−$0.88
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.4800.495$5.16+$0.16
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? · Yes0.0700.060$4.29−$0.71
Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No0.0800.041$2.53−$2.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Alabama vs. Mississippi State · Mississippi State0.1700.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.6090.000$0.00−$150.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 21:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-03 21:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.5599999642$5.00
10-03 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-03 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-03 17:29Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.08$5.00
10-03 17:24Alabama vs. Mississippi StateBUY0.1699999983$15.00
10-03 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.729999986$25.00
10-03 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-03 14:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-03 14:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-03 14:21Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
10-03 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.339999985$5.00
10-03 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.4799999939$25.00
10-03 13:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-03 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.491043369$25.00
Trader Shivangroup · PolyBot Pro