PolyBot

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Traders

Nagumo

0x17d363b2a2e656c24b3f3bd8e18317dced319147

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$250.6k
Markets traded
762
Open portfolio
$88.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded762
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.4630.355$64.67−$19.70
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3970.260$12.80−$6.76
Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.4880.455$11.23−$0.81
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$98.45
MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$5.00
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$9.50
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) · Thunder0.2700.000$0.00−$4.00
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$1.89
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) · Türkiye0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2650.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13? · No0.1720.000$0.00−$20.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$4.50
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$41.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 01:523Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
10-30 01:51Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.0011018522$3.07
10-30 01:51Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7361146066$174.32
10-30 01:50Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$58.70
10-16 00:04Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 38.5BUY0.4299999976$49.00
10-16 00:01Will Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.001$2.06
10-16 00:00Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.0609518072$2.53
10-13 01:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13?BUY0.1719999997$20.00
10-01 20:01Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.4$10.00
10-01 20:003Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.439999979$7.56
10-01 19:45Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$19.43
10-01 19:25Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4879740681$12.04
10-01 19:24Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.605541417$147.52
09-16 13:30Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchSELL0.4319069652$86.81
09-16 12:43Tread FDV above $20M one day after launchBUY0.1099999981$4.00