Nagumo
0x17d363b2a2e656c24b3f3bd8e18317dced319147
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $250.6k
- Markets traded
- 762
- Open portfolio
- $88.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded762
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$592.41at 0.457Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$540.10at 0.360Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$398.12at 0.019Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 2?
- +$332.43at 0.443Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?
- +$314.47at 0.550MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:52 | 3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 01:51 | Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.0011018522 | $3.07 |
| 10-30 01:51 | Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7361146066 | $174.32 |
| 10-30 01:50 | Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $58.70 |
| 10-16 00:04 | Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.4299999976 | $49.00 |
| 10-16 00:01 | Will Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.06 |
| 10-16 00:00 | Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.0609518072 | $2.53 |
| 10-13 01:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1719999997 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 20:01 | Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:00 | 3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.439999979 | $7.56 |
| 10-01 19:45 | Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $19.43 |
| 10-01 19:25 | Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4879740681 | $12.04 |
| 10-01 19:24 | Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.605541417 | $147.52 |
| 09-16 13:30 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | SELL | 0.4319069652 | $86.81 |
| 09-16 12:43 | Tread FDV above $20M one day after launch | BUY | 0.1099999981 | $4.00 |