dinnnoye4
0x17d18cecc945fbc5ad051bd508a40d451d098dae
- Realised P&L
- $1.37
- Volume
- $227.08
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $11.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $11.15 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.970Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.51at 0.975Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.20 |
| 09-13 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.70 |
| 08-24 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.60 |
| 08-07 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or below on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.80 |
| 07-27 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 07-10 03:04 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.60 |
| 06-30 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.20 |
| 06-15 02:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.70 |
| 05-25 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26? | BUY | 0.9979999942 | $14.70 |
| 05-13 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.50 |
| 04-19 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.80 |
| 03-22 13:20 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.10 |
| 03-07 07:21 | Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.975 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 05:33 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 14:41 | Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.97 | $19.00 |