PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x17D1299A5a0361906Dd4dCc873F60Fe3c01cE2F2-1781291385250

0x17d1299a5a0361906dd4dcc873f60fe3c01ce2f2

Realised P&L
$-77.97
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$3.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · Yes0.0370.027$3.66−$1.34
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.2400.001$0.02−$11.79
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$10.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00−$10.00
Ivan Perišić: 1+ goals · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:08Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.2399999967$11.81
10-01 05:40Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?BUY0.0368776888$5.00
09-29 20:11Spain vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$16.64
09-29 07:16Spain vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4799999904$8.00
09-29 07:16Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
07-15 18:31Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$3.00
07-12 19:06Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.29999982$1.00
07-12 19:06Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-12 19:05Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-12 19:05Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY0.1099999766$4.00
07-12 19:05Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?BUY0.08$3.00
07-12 19:05Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.16$3.00
07-12 19:05Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?BUY0.1$3.00
07-11 22:15Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-11 13:59Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?BUY0.0299999943$5.00