fffffz
0x17ce7c9a7f768bfa98946caf7d64c9e051f5beec
- Realised P&L
- $108.2k
- Volume
- $18.72M
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $1.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.011 | $1.25 | −$18.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.0kat 0.113Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$39.1kat 0.189Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
- +$33.2kat 0.239Nothing Ever Happens: January
- +$24.5kat 0.882Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$16.9kat 0.049Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 17:34 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.37 |
| 02-01 23:52 | Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 23:51 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 02-01 23:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $24.74 |
| 02-01 23:49 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9651597285 | $255.96 |
| 02-01 23:48 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.002 | $12.46 |
| 02-01 23:48 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.9k |
| 02-01 23:47 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.982 | $63.4k |
| 02-01 23:44 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 02-01 13:17 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $38.13 |
| 01-31 21:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 01-31 18:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.2k |
| 01-31 17:54 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.2k |
| 01-31 17:43 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.3k |
| 01-31 17:27 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.4k |