mrdream.852
0x17cc4e55872da0665f7593eb670b3091893c5011
- Realised P&L
- $-70.63
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.455 | $4.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$13.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.27at 0.149Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$45.41at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
- +$33.91at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?
- +$30.90at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?
- +$23.78at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.08 |
| 10-05 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5632371265 | $14.00 |
| 10-05 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2165668625 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $18.13 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.719999977 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.67 |
| 09-29 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.997 | $21.39 |
| 09-26 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.466019403 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.01 |
| 09-25 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7128712758 | $10.00 |