PolyBot

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Traders

mrdream.852

0x17cc4e55872da0665f7593eb670b3091893c5011

Realised P&L
$-70.63
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$4.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6? · Yes0.4800.455$4.74−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? · Yes0.5630.001$0.01−$13.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 10:22Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-05 03:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5?SELL0.32$3.08
10-05 03:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5?BUY0.5632371265$14.00
10-05 00:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-03 04:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3?BUY0.2165668625$5.00
10-01 11:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?SELL0.997$18.13
10-01 00:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
09-30 02:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.719999977$15.00
09-30 00:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?SELL0.999$35.67
09-29 04:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.8399999989$30.00
09-27 08:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-26 08:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?SELL0.997$21.39
09-26 03:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.466019403$10.00
09-25 11:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?SELL0.999$14.01
09-25 04:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.7128712758$10.00