0x17c93ccc48dcdb7da9b922bb537c800b0cd10ed8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.52
- Volume
- $41.51
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $10.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.920 | $1.89 | +$0.41 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.850 | $1.85 | +$0.37 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.900 | $1.64 | +$0.16 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $1.47 | −$0.01 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.370 | 0.340 | $1.36 | −$0.12 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.460 | $1.22 | −$0.26 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.335 | $0.94 | −$0.54 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.590 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.718Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.56at 0.728SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?
- +$0.53at 0.718Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.52at 0.740Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$0.43at 0.777Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:19 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.48 |
| 09-15 18:08 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799999578 | $1.48 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998714 | $1.48 |
| 09-14 23:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199998443 | $1.48 |
| 09-14 15:07 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.809999907 | $1.48 |
| 09-14 07:06 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999678 | $1.48 |
| 09-13 23:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998638 | $1.48 |
| 09-13 06:14 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.48 |
| 09-11 06:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7199999222 | $1.48 |
| 09-10 18:11 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998559 | $1.33 |
| 09-10 07:40 | Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998753 | $1.48 |
| 09-09 22:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999688 | $1.48 |
| 09-09 13:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3899999789 | $1.48 |
| 09-09 03:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5899999003 | $1.48 |
| 09-08 16:16 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.48 |