YesOrN0
0x17bda839b018287bd2417c55e8316c644c67140f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.51
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.006 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner · FUT Esports | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2? · Under | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rockets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 2? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.06at 0.011Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.12at 0.860Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
- +$-0.25at 0.008Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$-0.54at 0.050Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 23:42 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 12:56 | Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 12:54 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 21:07 | Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0037023325 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 21:01 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.21 |
| 02-28 19:04 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.46 |
| 02-28 19:04 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.75 |
| 02-10 10:42 | Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.01 |
| 02-07 09:02 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.01 |
| 02-02 20:25 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.859999452 | $1.13 |
| 02-02 20:19 | Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 20:13 | Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 19:35 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 19:33 | Rockets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |