0x17b80Ff69c6213bA35D31d6F9805c566bBE41c82-1775204486385
0x17b80ff69c6213ba35d31d6f9805c566bbe41c82
- Realised P&L
- $17.33
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $45.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $35.43 | −$64.56 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.56 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in April? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.34 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.32 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.14 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 22? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.88at 0.066Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 11:44 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0070557706 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.0033730271 | $17.13 |
| 04-22 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.0348854095 | $17.22 |
| 04-22 13:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 04-22 13:00 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.1499999955 | $25.00 |
| 04-17 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 15:28 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.5296741487 | $241.88 |
| 04-03 09:18 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in April? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.68 |
| 04-03 09:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.05 | $8.63 |
| 04-03 09:13 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.065695109 | $30.00 |
| 04-03 09:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $23.28 |