0x17b7f3f25c0f2601d481e4d454a6ee6a92e48c38
0x17b7f3f25c0f2601d481e4d454a6ee6a92e48c38
- Realised P&L
- $90.78
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $38.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.255 | $24.06 | −$25.94 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $14.74 | −$5.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.31at 0.527Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
- +$45.26at 0.350Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$36.30at 0.216Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$19.64at 0.568Broncos vs. Chiefs
- +$18.29at 0.528Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 02:39 | Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 02:51 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 00:18 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 18:33 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 15:40 | Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5158730128 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 15:39 | Spread: Western Michigan (-27.5) | BUY | 0.533491389 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 21:51 | Spread: Western Michigan (-27.5) | BUY | 0.5499999834 | $6.62 |
| 09-10 17:52 | 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 23:11 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 23:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.78 | $47.75 |
| 06-06 21:44 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2139999901 | $16.36 |
| 05-08 15:40 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | BUY | 0.8274666664 | $13.81 |
| 05-08 15:38 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 04-29 20:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $30.00 |
| 04-24 03:39 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |