cognis.weather
0x17ac1417ee661166f1108d779e8756dcb0a1120e
- Realised P&L
- $-75.69
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 536
- Open portfolio
- $17.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded536
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.44at 0.127Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$8.44at 0.656Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$7.06at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 5?
- +$5.79at 0.676Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$5.16at 0.715Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4299998433 | $1.07 |
| 10-09 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2999999751 | $2.41 |
| 10-09 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4899999677 | $2.43 |
| 10-09 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.53 |
| 10-09 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4699999871 | $1.09 |
| 10-09 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.41 |
| 10-09 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6199998769 | $1.41 |
| 10-09 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4499999366 | $1.42 |
| 10-09 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5899999169 | $1.42 |
| 10-09 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.44 |
| 10-09 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.44 |
| 10-09 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.44 |
| 10-07 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.1509999975 | $2.46 |
| 10-07 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-07 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3599999633 | $1.96 |