PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cognis.weather

0x17ac1417ee661166f1108d779e8756dcb0a1120e

Realised P&L
$-75.69
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
536
Open portfolio
$17.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded536
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 14:10Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?BUY0.4299998433$1.07
10-09 14:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.2999999751$2.41
10-09 13:53Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?BUY0.4899999677$2.43
10-09 13:53Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.36$1.53
10-09 13:09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?BUY0.4699999871$1.09
10-09 13:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?BUY0.5$1.41
10-09 13:09Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.6199998769$1.41
10-09 12:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 10?BUY0.4499999366$1.42
10-09 12:09Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.5899999169$1.42
10-09 12:07Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?BUY0.4899999183$1.44
10-09 12:07Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10?BUY0.48$1.44
10-09 12:07Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.45$1.44
10-07 21:48Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 7?BUY0.1509999975$2.46
10-07 21:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.45$2.25
10-07 19:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.3599999633$1.96