PolyBot

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Traders

0x17a97c0471249B41C9A22A6e7631E32A5Be50a7E-1784488041585

0x17a97c0471249b41c9a22a6e7631e32a5be50a7e

Realised P&L
$-6.08
Volume
$22.4k
Markets traded
423
Open portfolio
$441.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded423
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? · Yes0.2420.380$89.30+$32.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.2590.254$50.94−$1.19
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election? · Yes0.2130.290$41.31+$10.91
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2370.245$39.80+$1.26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.2670.365$38.01+$10.16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2060.245$34.18+$5.41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.1710.185$30.57+$2.37
Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes0.2820.215$28.16−$8.80
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%? · Yes0.2200.185$19.41−$3.67
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2590.275$18.57+$1.09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.2610.300$16.42+$2.13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.1800.225$9.84+$1.97
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.1630.180$8.07+$0.76
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.2770.304$6.83+$0.61
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more? · Yes0.1580.139$5.96−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 23:14Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?BUY0.2421276596$56.90
09-25 23:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?SELL0.22$2.03
09-25 22:57Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.2$1.79
09-25 22:53Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.2$2.00
09-25 22:41Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%?SELL0.19$8.46
09-25 22:40Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%?SELL0.19$3.61
09-25 21:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?SELL0.18$0.90
09-25 21:23Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?SELL0.18$0.90
09-25 21:22Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?SELL0.18$1.80
09-25 21:09Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?SELL0.19$1.90
09-25 20:54Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%?SELL0.29$7.18
09-25 20:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?SELL0.19$1.90
09-25 20:49Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?SELL0.22$2.20
09-25 20:03Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?SELL0.21$2.93
09-25 20:03Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?SELL0.21$1.66