0x17a97c0471249B41C9A22A6e7631E32A5Be50a7E-1784488041585
0x17a97c0471249b41c9a22a6e7631e32a5be50a7e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.08
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $441.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.34at 0.242Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$13.62at 0.527Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$13.60at 0.209Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 12% or more?
- +$12.48at 0.376Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$9.99at 0.437Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 23:14 | Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2421276596 | $56.90 |
| 09-25 23:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.03 |
| 09-25 22:57 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.79 |
| 09-25 22:53 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 22:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.46 |
| 09-25 22:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.61 |
| 09-25 21:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-25 21:23 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-25 21:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-25 21:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-25 20:54 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.29 | $7.18 |
| 09-25 20:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-25 20:49 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-25 20:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.93 |
| 09-25 20:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.66 |