heatherharmon
0x179bfc1a0101991b45c659d6ecdf504d50fac58b
- Realised P&L
- $22.49
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $38.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.850 | 0.895 | $14.63 | +$0.74 |
| Curitiba: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Gabriel Schenekenberg · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 0.850 | 1.000 | $12.79 | +$1.92 |
| Dolphins vs. Vikings: O/U 41.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.595 | $11.49 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.951Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$2.81at 0.973Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$2.42at 0.978Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.77at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.75at 0.993Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:04 | Dolphins vs. Vikings: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.6199999876 | $11.97 |
| 01-31 13:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999507 | $5.95 |
| 01-31 13:45 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.15 |
| 01-30 15:49 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.63 |
| 01-30 15:40 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.55 |
| 01-30 15:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9969999833 | $28.86 |
| 01-30 14:05 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $43.90 |
| 12-30 17:18 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979995019 | $1.11 |
| 12-30 10:30 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.77 |
| 12-30 10:05 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.52 |
| 12-30 09:38 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.51 |
| 12-29 19:41 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $12.82 |
| 12-29 19:24 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999906 | $68.95 |
| 10-31 16:03 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999704 | $26.20 |
| 10-31 15:31 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.64 |