0x179afb1d6e56b8946dc60b1626b5ad11d08813d2
0x179afb1d6e56b8946dc60b1626b5ad11d08813d2
- Realised P&L
- $-33.42
- Volume
- $180.89
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.600 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.75at 0.659Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 21?
- +$1.69at 0.440Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$1.46at 0.522Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.24at 0.592Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$1.18at 0.607Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:01 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:43 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.92 |
| 09-24 20:04 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:04 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 22:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999441 | $1.61 |
| 08-12 04:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.78 |
| 07-30 08:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 07-25 00:49 | Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.26 |
| 07-24 00:49 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.814999666 | $2.05 |
| 07-23 12:49 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 00:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999944 | $15.12 |
| 07-22 12:44 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999013 | $1.58 |
| 07-22 00:43 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 07-21 12:42 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 21? | BUY | 0.65 | $12.87 |
| 07-21 00:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.26 |