0x1799d00913a6753f80d5e95633de27f0f49f2fea
0x1799d00913a6753f80d5e95633de27f0f49f2fea
- Realised P&L
- $18.69
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 514
- Open portfolio
- $7.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded514
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in November? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.525 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.970 | 0.996 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 2? · No | 0.976 | 0.969 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? · Yes | 0.943 | 0.859 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? · No | 0.690 | 0.505 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.009 | $0.42 | −$1.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.85at 0.060XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$20.23at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$11.79at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$10.25at 0.291Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$10.05at 0.096Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $1.35 |
| 11-02 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 2? | BUY | 0.9759992036 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9429994549 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in November? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |