PolyBot

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Traders

0x1798577bb374966ff424ff4557bcf995bddd8a27

0x1798577bb374966ff424ff4557bcf995bddd8a27

Realised P&L
$-0.24
Volume
$237.29
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$1.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.6000.615$1.02+$0.03
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.7800.390$0.50−$0.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2300.001$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:27Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-05 14:20Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-30 02:51Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-26 05:47Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-22 21:24Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-22 13:24Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-22 05:14Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-18 05:19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-16 03:30Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-13 18:55Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-13 07:45Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-10 07:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-08 21:46Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-08 13:17Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-08 04:55Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?BUY0.549999945$1.00