PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nevett

0x178a20eaadf29598e1d27f08f235016d830843f2

Realised P&L
$76.00
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · Yes0.0240.041$0.82+$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 04:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.012$1.25
08-18 04:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.013$1.35
07-22 04:33Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?SELL0.03$27.81
06-30 05:01US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.939$450.72
06-30 03:41Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.942$449.33
06-29 10:40Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.064$61.50
06-29 08:59Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?SELL0.066$63.23
06-15 05:34Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?SELL0.053$27.03
06-13 07:32Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?SELL0.055$41.25
06-11 03:17Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?BUY0.93$548.70
06-11 02:17KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?BUY0.92$542.80
06-10 06:56Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?BUY0.92$496.80
06-10 06:19Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?BUY0.92$506.00