Nevett
0x178a20eaadf29598e1d27f08f235016d830843f2
- Realised P&L
- $76.00
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.041 | $0.82 | +$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.01at 0.922Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- +$40.15at 0.932Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- +$5.90at 0.920KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
- +$2.87at 0.063Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.942Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 04:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.25 |
| 08-18 04:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.35 |
| 07-22 04:33 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $27.81 |
| 06-30 05:01 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.939 | $450.72 |
| 06-30 03:41 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $449.33 |
| 06-29 10:40 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.064 | $61.50 |
| 06-29 08:59 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $63.23 |
| 06-15 05:34 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $27.03 |
| 06-13 07:32 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $41.25 |
| 06-11 03:17 | Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | BUY | 0.93 | $548.70 |
| 06-11 02:17 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $542.80 |
| 06-10 06:56 | Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | BUY | 0.92 | $496.80 |
| 06-10 06:19 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $506.00 |