PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

47gds

0x1787d7f51cb4df9272345e2b353bb0d5db7d58c2

Realised P&L
$-40.25
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
170
Open portfolio
$91.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded170
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.6980.825$5.91+$0.91
Will the Tennessee Titans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.8100.930$5.73+$0.74
Will Bill Tierney win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year? · No0.6700.830$5.61+$1.08
Will Andrew McAdorey win the 2026 PLL MVP award? · No0.9191.000$5.44+$0.44
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? · No0.8500.895$5.27+$0.27
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? · No0.6600.753$5.03+$0.62
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? · No0.7650.929$4.65+$0.82
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? · No0.7190.632$4.39$0.60
Will Crusaders win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final? · No0.6101.000$3.36+$1.31
Will Chris Bates win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year? · No0.6400.510$3.35$0.85
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3800.855$3.17+$1.76
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.3980.856$2.93+$1.57
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? · Yes0.0140.035$2.60+$1.54
Will Avaí win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.0060.458$2.29+$2.26
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0900.981$2.26+$2.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 06:30Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.18$1.67
08-16 01:50Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?SELL0.703$4.81
08-15 18:46Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.202$3.15
08-15 17:50Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?SELL0.729$4.08
08-13 12:34Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.01$0.10
08-11 06:37Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.048$0.23
08-10 07:03Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?SELL0.917$4.99
08-10 02:49Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Washington Commanders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.001$0.04
08-10 02:49Will Dexter Lawrence play for the New York Jets in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.001$0.04
08-10 02:48Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.001$0.07
08-08 07:28Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?SELL0.07$0.69
08-08 06:21Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.074$0.38
08-07 21:07Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.003$0.03
08-07 21:04Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.003$0.05
08-07 01:45Will Hugo Cuypers win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.018$0.25