47gds
0x1787d7f51cb4df9272345e2b353bb0d5db7d58c2
- Realised P&L
- $-40.25
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $91.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.18at 0.750Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
- +$1.26at 0.011Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
- +$1.01at 0.182Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.00at 0.601Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.037Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 06:30 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.67 |
| 08-16 01:50 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | SELL | 0.703 | $4.81 |
| 08-15 18:46 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.202 | $3.15 |
| 08-15 17:50 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | SELL | 0.729 | $4.08 |
| 08-13 12:34 | Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-11 06:37 | Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.23 |
| 08-10 07:03 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.917 | $4.99 |
| 08-10 02:49 | Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Washington Commanders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-10 02:49 | Will Dexter Lawrence play for the New York Jets in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-10 02:48 | Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 08-08 07:28 | Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.69 |
| 08-08 06:21 | Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.074 | $0.38 |
| 08-07 21:07 | Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 08-07 21:04 | Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 08-07 01:45 | Will Hugo Cuypers win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.25 |