47gds
0x1787d7f51cb4df9272345e2b353bb0d5db7d58c2
- Realised P&L
- $20.54
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $102.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.308Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.011Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
- +$1.00at 0.601Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
- +$0.66at 0.231Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.32at 0.092Will Brandon Hyde be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 04:51 | Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026? | SELL | 0.069 | $0.53 |
| 07-31 04:47 | Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.53 |
| 07-30 19:30 | Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.97 |
| 07-28 22:18 | Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-28 16:24 | Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? | SELL | 0.77 | $4.80 |
| 07-28 02:01 | Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 01:59 | Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-27 20:00 | Will Matt Ortega win the CA-14 special election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.17 |
| 07-23 21:29 | Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 07-23 09:22 | Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.34 |
| 07-21 16:35 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? | SELL | 0.62 | $4.30 |
| 07-19 21:24 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11? | SELL | 0.187 | $1.15 |
| 07-18 02:26 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11? | SELL | 0.171 | $2.33 |
| 07-18 02:05 | Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 19:30 | Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |