0x17750CdF4De06949d78B281151A40Ff48B7c99Da-1774423223002
0x17750cdf4de06949d78b281151a40ff48b7c99da
- Realised P&L
- $42.13
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $1.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.125 | $1.23 | −$3.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.11at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$81.02at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$69.23at 0.645Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$63.36at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$48.25at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0634546237 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $1.05 |
| 05-17 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.591796737 | $40.27 |
| 04-10 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $0.87 |
| 04-10 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $9.10 |
| 04-10 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $4.62 |
| 04-10 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $4.66 |
| 04-10 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.389999986 | $9.12 |