bby123
0x177500541ae20bb0d46ab0db3fd2559e2a7e85b0
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $606.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,123
- Open portfolio
- $202.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,123
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.916Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
- +$700.61at 0.910Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
- +$404.36at 0.801Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?
- +$379.97at 0.917Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
- +$331.94at 0.914Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9625164986 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.899182643 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $453.91 |
| 10-16 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9665205255 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.936329588 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $101.94 |
| 10-16 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.8925987855 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.7571657544 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.6284448787 | $38.59 |
| 10-16 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.8140777397 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9318604036 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9364498053 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.870717395 | $100.00 |