MistyNights
0x177296c6b1050df6d31dae7fa3408eea22f279dd
- Realised P&L
- $679.25
- Volume
- $287.6k
- Markets traded
- 5,146
- Open portfolio
- $835.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,146
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.20at 0.138Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.51at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 16?
- +$6.81at 0.852Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?
- +$4.33at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 13?
- +$4.33at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.994 | $35.00 |
| 09-26 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.99 |
| 09-26 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.95 |
| 09-26 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.96 |
| 09-26 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.99 |
| 09-26 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.96 |
| 09-26 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.993 | $5.11 |
| 09-25 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.88 |
| 09-25 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 92°F or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.986 | $39.99 |