PolyBot

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Traders

0x176a704fb6baa880e6f363a6706c4e70918dec19

0x176a704fb6baa880e6f363a6706c4e70918dec19

Realised P&L
$-31.39
Volume
$821.88
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$31.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.5400.455$6.08−$1.13
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.555$5.59+$2.77
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.725$5.06+$2.06
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2300.380$3.07+$1.21
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.555$2.82−$0.18
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.335$2.05−$0.95
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.315$1.66−$0.34
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4600.320$1.39−$0.61
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.150$1.29−$1.04
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3900.245$1.26−$0.74
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.155$0.82−$1.18
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.016$0.11−$1.89
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6270.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:22QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.48$3.21
09-18 11:22Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-15 13:14QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.2299999864$1.86
07-20 10:34Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchBUY0.4599999264$3.00
07-20 10:14Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
07-17 09:23Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.4299999298$3.00
07-17 09:23QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.5899998112$3.00
07-16 11:05Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$1.00
07-16 11:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-15 18:34Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3624998595$1.00
07-12 18:45Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-12 18:45Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-08 13:05Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1569998862$1.00
07-08 13:01Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-07 10:18Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.52$1.00