PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x176a704fb6baa880e6f363a6706c4e70918dec19

Realised P&L
$-24.12
Volume
$806.05
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$34.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch · Yes0.4601.000$6.52+$3.52
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.610$6.14+$3.32
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes-0.2760.750$5.24+$7.17
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.605$3.08+$0.08
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.460$3.07$0.93
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes-0.1280.355$2.17+$2.96
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes-0.1800.395$2.08+$3.03
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2300.220$1.78$0.08
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.180$1.55$0.78
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4600.310$1.35$0.65
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3900.200$1.03$0.97
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.055$0.37$1.63
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.055$0.29$1.71
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6270.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:14QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.2299999864$1.86
07-20 10:34Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchBUY0.4599999264$3.00
07-20 10:14Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
07-17 09:23Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.4299999298$3.00
07-17 09:23QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.5899998112$3.00
07-16 11:05Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$1.00
07-16 11:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-15 18:34Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3624998595$1.00
07-12 18:45Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-12 18:45Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-08 13:05Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1569998862$1.00
07-08 13:01Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-07 10:18Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.52$1.00
07-07 10:18Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-07 10:15Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199998512$1.00