0x176a48f6dcDDF65735BB919bA564bf533e30C0b6-1784191663917
0x176a48f6dcddf65735bb919ba564bf533e30c0b6
- Realised P&L
- $157.12
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $191.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $71.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.108 | $25.60 | +$2.93 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.102 | $20.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.145 | $14.50 | −$1.00 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.105 | $12.60 | −$4.20 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.009 | $12.48 | +$2.78 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.219 | $10.95 | +$2.30 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.439 | $8.77 | +$2.07 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.250 | $7.50 | +$0.60 |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.025 | $6.65 | +$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.71at 0.317Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$14.00at 0.280Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:04 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.155 | $15.50 |
| 11-01 17:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 11-01 05:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 11-01 05:26 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 05:16 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 07:52 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 20:35 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-30 20:35 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 10-30 18:32 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.96 |
| 10-30 04:06 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.335 | $6.70 |
| 10-30 04:02 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.094 | $9.40 |
| 10-29 17:30 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.091 | $3.27 |
| 10-29 17:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 10-29 17:28 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.0904749063 | $43.91 |
| 10-29 03:14 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.107 | $1.60 |