BeanieSeagull
0x1769f451899a6aed539f668339ed304ebc2a974e
- Realised P&L
- $8.2k
- Volume
- $262.7k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $900.45
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? · Yes | 0.732 | 0.690 | $257.37 | −$15.70 |
| Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.935 | $158.95 | +$12.75 |
| Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.285 | $108.02 | −$96.47 |
| Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.730 | $94.90 | +$15.27 |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.345 | $94.29 | −$3.49 |
| Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.441 | $50.66 | +$5.88 |
| Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? · Yes | 0.477 | 0.395 | $50.64 | −$10.58 |
| Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.825 | $45.38 | +$4.67 |
| Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.805 | $40.25 | +$7.25 |
| Will Frances Tiafoe advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.151US strike on Syria by December 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.030US strike on Syria by December 19?
- +$1.3kat 0.529Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.3kat 0.341U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
- +$374.57at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:01 | Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? | BUY | 0.74 | $40.70 |
| 10-02 21:59 | Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? | BUY | 0.3893610435 | $44.78 |
| 10-02 21:49 | Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 10-02 21:48 | Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? | BUY | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 09-30 00:09 | Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.37 | $29.97 |
| 09-30 00:07 | Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | BUY | 0.67 | $40.20 |
| 09-30 00:06 | Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? | BUY | 0.8 | $44.80 |
| 09-30 00:05 | Will Norway win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? | SELL | 0.15 | $11.25 |
| 09-30 00:04 | Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? | SELL | 0.87 | $40.02 |
| 09-30 00:01 | Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? | BUY | 0.48 | $46.08 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? | BUY | 0.4 | $17.60 |
| 09-27 21:25 | Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | BUY | 0.57 | $17.10 |
| 09-27 21:24 | Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | BUY | 0.55833 | $22.33 |
| 09-27 21:22 | Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 09-27 21:21 | Will Luxembourg win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? | SELL | 0.42 | $16.80 |