0x1767e080515b37795f035846ca421eb7796fe1cc
- Realised P&L
- $326.53
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 85 mph? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.977 | $656.46 | −$5.35 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 90 mph? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.967 | $528.43 | −$9.49 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? · Yes | 0.804 | 0.986 | $495.82 | +$91.13 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? · Yes | 0.723 | 0.989 | $384.53 | +$103.47 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 80 mph? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.989 | $98.90 | +$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.15at 0.414Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$119.85at 0.044Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?
- +$72.74at 0.134Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$39.72at 0.031Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
- +$16.05at 0.900Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 16:48 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.76 | $24.32 |
| 09-10 16:48 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.768 | $76.80 |
| 09-10 16:14 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 105 mph? | SELL | 0.54 | $7.35 |
| 09-10 16:13 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.89 | $94.52 |
| 09-10 15:49 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 15:47 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.866586169 | $78.95 |
| 09-10 15:34 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.7273958333 | $69.83 |
| 09-10 15:06 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.83 | $49.80 |
| 09-10 14:47 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.79 | $63.20 |
| 09-10 14:25 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 09-10 14:23 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-10 14:22 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 09-10 14:21 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.6565346535 | $66.31 |
| 09-10 13:49 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.7218707324 | $154.35 |
| 09-10 11:59 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 90 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $306.90 |