0x1767e080515b37795f035846ca421eb7796fe1cc
0x1767e080515b37795f035846ca421eb7796fe1cc
- Realised P&L
- $512.91
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.26at 0.369Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?
- +$120.15at 0.414Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$119.85at 0.044Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?
- +$104.06at 0.732Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?
- +$101.05at 0.812Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 95 mph?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:33 | Will more than 625,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 11-01 16:13 | Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $84.49 |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Will more than 625,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 10-30 21:54 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 110 mph? | BUY | 0.927 | $18.54 |
| 10-16 21:57 | Will more than 595,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $76.95 |
| 10-15 12:02 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 115 mph? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 10-15 12:02 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 115 mph? | BUY | 0.92 | $45.08 |
| 10-10 00:51 | Will more than 625,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $19.58 |
| 10-10 00:48 | Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.01 |
| 10-06 12:04 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 10-06 11:57 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 105 mph? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.25 |
| 10-06 00:43 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.92 | $64.75 |
| 10-05 22:43 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.94 | $56.86 |
| 10-05 20:38 | Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |