PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pgmlw

0x175ccb5a9244ce843b0295a8d6407192a5fc2a68

Realised P&L
$-279.14
Volume
$16.3k
Markets traded
871
Open portfolio
$9.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded871
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? · Yes0.3900.315$9.69−$2.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00−$13.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.6690.000$0.00−$15.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 16:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27?BUY0.3899999971$12.00
09-26 03:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26?BUY0.2955432084$15.00
09-25 04:02Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.72$9.04
09-24 07:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?SELL0.998$18.71
09-24 04:43Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.8$15.00
09-22 03:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.64$16.00
09-12 04:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?SELL0.02$1.43
09-12 04:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 12?SELL0.2016564417$6.57
09-12 00:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?BUY0.0976005463$7.00
09-12 00:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 12?BUY0.4599999951$15.00
09-11 05:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?BUY0.694691388$12.00
09-10 04:32Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?BUY0.001$1.00
09-10 03:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?BUY0.03482136$0.91
09-10 01:40Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?SELL0.1867204301$6.95
09-09 22:20Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?BUY0.456925155$17.00