armaniexchange
0x175c2e8e548e51f5efb36bae1efbd1e271159ebc
- Realised P&L
- $0.65
- Volume
- $496.43
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $22.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.973 | $22.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.21at 0.856Will Heidelberg United FC win on 2026-07-21?
- +$1.35at 0.970Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.26at 0.977Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11?
- +$0.15at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13?
- +$0.07at 0.997Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:26 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.00 |
| 10-13 11:26 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9696606167 | $11.00 |
| 10-13 11:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $41.97 |
| 09-25 13:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999746 | $19.00 |
| 09-25 13:49 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999939 | $44.00 |
| 09-10 21:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9755656068 | $11.00 |
| 09-10 21:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.9969999817 | $22.00 |
| 09-10 20:57 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.985 | $21.84 |
| 08-26 18:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9689999994 | $44.00 |
| 08-26 18:20 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.992 | $22.00 |
| 08-26 18:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $20.80 |
| 08-26 18:17 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $21.99 |
| 08-13 15:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $21.00 |
| 08-13 15:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 15:32 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.98399998 | $22.00 |