BadLuk
0x175b9f89fb9f36d7f4044effb833e237c012b14c
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $604.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,011
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,011
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.85at 0.495Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?
- +$68.90at 0.960Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
- +$68.33at 0.180Boston College vs. Stanford
- +$49.48at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET
- +$48.11at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:51 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.64 |
| 10-31 00:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-28 15:37 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.44 |
| 10-28 15:36 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $20.40 |
| 10-21 15:28 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.29 |
| 10-18 02:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 13:59 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $49.87 |
| 10-15 01:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.19 |
| 10-15 01:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 18:06 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999607 | $1.12 |
| 09-24 22:03 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 09-23 09:24 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $44.82 |
| 08-25 22:08 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $54.25 |
| 07-12 17:55 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $24.97 |
| 06-12 19:52 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $203.80 |