0x1753a724a35Ce61AD6A487D90751583B72F4CaFd-1772526454150
0x1753a724a35ce61ad6a487d90751583b72f4cafd
- Realised P&L
- $-952.43
- Volume
- $109.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,314
- Open portfolio
- $198.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,314
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$444.66at 0.413Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?
- +$301.09at 0.201Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?
- +$253.11at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?
- +$208.52at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$164.10at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-18 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-18 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-18 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-17 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-17 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 17? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-17 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-17 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-16 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-16 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-15 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-15 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-15 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-14 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-14 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |