PolyBot

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Traders

hulkbaby - 39016

0x174d5409dc8ff0b0a397fb0d0a5dcf41ea76bcf8

Realised P&L
$-238.69
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$253.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March? · Yes0.0801.000$250.00+$230.00
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1390.005$3.14$83.86
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$20.00
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$20.00
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.4690.000$0.00$240.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-09 05:36Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.468652554$240.00
03-09 05:32Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.0139860079$20.00
03-09 04:25Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?BUY0.08$20.00
03-07 19:23Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?BUY0.0139223959$20.00
03-07 19:03Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?BUY0.1254074992$50.66
03-07 18:41Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0169303121$50.00
03-07 18:29Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1385312491$87.00