PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LJRAlonso

0x174aad263dc89638c8e21890a51ad0c62e3c3c1b

Realised P&L
$-43.29
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$41.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.4740.620$19.60+$4.60
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.6671.000$15.00+$5.00
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1570.050$3.15−$6.85
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3850.105$1.36−$3.63
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026? · No0.7381.000$1.35+$0.35
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2500.065$1.30−$3.70
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-25? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$3.00
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves0.0620.000$0.00−$1.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.0640.000$0.00−$5.00
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-26 04:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.2899999956$26.93
04-26 04:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.6799999946$9.54
04-26 04:47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.2399999674$4.45
04-26 04:43Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.059999989$4.32
04-26 04:35Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.3846153846$5.00
04-26 04:35Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.25$5.00
04-26 04:35Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.1571014777$10.00
04-26 04:33Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?BUY0.2619999677$5.00
04-26 02:52Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.001$1.88
04-26 02:52Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.001$0.94
04-26 02:51Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.059999946$0.94
04-26 02:51Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.6599999842$9.80
04-25 21:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0189999817$0.92
04-25 21:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?BUY0.017$9.21
04-25 21:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0170000004$0.92