Ammar
0x174705dd5489acbeb86023c4ab4baffb3a543b00
- Realised P&L
- $518.72
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $249.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.15at 0.768Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$100.07at 0.238Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
- +$89.50at 0.064Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?
- +$57.35at 0.180Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$47.92at 0.096Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 02:29 | Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-09 02:27 | Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 10-06 02:23 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 04:50 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5299999538 | $5.96 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.36 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.64 |
| 09-16 03:04 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 03:03 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.08 |
| 09-16 02:56 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 22:57 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 09-11 02:29 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.254 | $3.81 |
| 09-03 03:17 | Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.94 |
| 09-03 03:12 | Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.27 | $6.75 |