PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ammar

0x174705dd5489acbeb86023c4ab4baffb3a543b00

Realised P&L
$518.72
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
201
Open portfolio
$249.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded201
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0950.335$33.51+$24.03
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2930.290$33.35−$0.35
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5000.505$25.25+$0.25
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4120.545$25.20+$6.14
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2560.500$25.00+$12.20
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3300.570$22.80+$9.60
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1360.255$17.85+$8.35
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1730.155$15.50−$1.80
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0510.047$11.73−$0.93
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8800.845$8.45−$0.35
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2450.401$7.22+$2.81
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2500.540$6.76+$3.63
Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0770.336$5.03+$3.88
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0680.044$4.95−$2.72
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0320.089$4.47+$2.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 02:29Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.88$8.80
10-09 02:27Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.29$11.60
10-06 02:23Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5$25.00
09-26 04:50Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5299999538$5.96
09-18 03:23Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.003$0.03
09-18 03:23Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.012$0.36
09-18 03:23Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.002$0.07
09-16 03:11Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.15$1.64
09-16 03:04Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2$2.00
09-16 03:03Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.12$2.08
09-16 02:56Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.16$8.00
09-14 22:57Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.38$7.60
09-11 02:29Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.254$3.81
09-03 03:17Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.08$3.94
09-03 03:12Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.27$6.75