BlankBets
0x17462ff1f807a50420daef81482e660b310b41ee
- Realised P&L
- $-820.11
- Volume
- $63.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,112
- Open portfolio
- $17.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,112
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.082 | $12.62 | −$17.38 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.028 | $4.30 | −$10.70 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.045 | $0.40 | −$0.76 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.017 | $0.35 | −$1.55 |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.030 | $0.27 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.26at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 6?
- +$46.68at 0.126MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$41.73at 0.477US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
- +$33.72at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 6?
- +$32.13at 0.435Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 10? | BUY | 0.4725897921 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 08:21 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0316091954 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 08:17 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.096 | $15.00 |
| 05-06 18:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 18:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 18:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 18:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 06:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $73.52 |
| 04-27 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27? | BUY | 0.1253764259 | $1.50 |
| 04-27 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $0.70 |
| 04-27 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.76 |
| 04-26 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27? | BUY | 0.72 | $8.05 |
| 04-26 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.31 |
| 04-26 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.4932760814 | $7.36 |
| 04-26 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.67 |