SEGA-RUS
0x1741a4c5d6b45d777b8e5a2c261b8b359aeaf702
- Realised P&L
- $52.58
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $50.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.300 | $30.61 | −$19.39 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.360 | $11.61 | +$1.61 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.130 | $5.20 | −$4.80 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.035 | $2.92 | −$12.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.59at 0.646Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$85.42at 0.117Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$63.17at 0.053Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$61.03at 0.627Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
- +$59.17at 0.036Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:19 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 01:19 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 01:18 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 01:18 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 23:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 23:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 16:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0815968401 | $120.23 |
| 09-21 16:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1241063 | $124.11 |
| 09-20 14:31 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 18:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $90.00 |
| 08-22 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999984 | $68.87 |
| 08-22 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.580536099 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5786679062 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 11:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.17 | $49.38 |
| 08-22 11:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.1721301548 | $50.00 |