abir369
0x173e042ec46d8453b4d8ea39ff0211988a634ae7
- Realised P&L
- $-47.70
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $7.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.215 | $5.80 | −$1.86 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.071 | $1.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.86at 0.250Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$11.17at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$9.87at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$9.65at 0.200Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
- +$6.04at 0.220Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:16 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.2999999639 | $1.66 |
| 10-10 13:16 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0786069651 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:30 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999951 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:29 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $6.00 |
| 04-15 19:13 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.6099998972 | $1.74 |
| 04-15 17:46 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.44 | $0.63 |
| 04-15 17:08 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $0.98 |
| 04-15 17:07 | Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | SELL | 0.999 | $2.16 |
| 04-15 15:40 | Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | BUY | 0.9889999986 | $2.14 |
| 04-15 08:51 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.719999856 | $0.98 |
| 04-15 08:50 | BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $0.98 |
| 04-15 03:38 | Penguins vs. Blues | SELL | 0.41 | $0.86 |
| 04-15 03:06 | Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.999 | $1.28 |
| 04-15 02:54 | Trail Blazers vs. Suns | SELL | 0.45 | $0.64 |
| 04-15 02:22 | Penguins vs. Blues | BUY | 0.7199999428 | $1.51 |