0x173bade797c8e8ac0862d307843c6bc9915244ad
- Realised P&L
- $3.51
- Volume
- $508.00
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $79.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.35at 0.268Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.095Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
- +$-0.29at 0.774Discord IPO before 2027?
- +$-0.84at 0.820Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$-0.88at 0.830U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 01:37 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.882 | $4.41 |
| 06-19 10:45 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.268 | $1.34 |
| 06-16 04:06 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.478 | $4.78 |
| 06-10 10:22 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.924 | $5.54 |
| 06-05 05:53 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.76 |
| 06-02 05:51 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |
| 05-27 06:38 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.927 | $9.27 |
| 05-27 06:38 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.524 | $2.62 |
| 05-27 06:38 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.476 | $2.38 |
| 05-27 06:37 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 05-27 06:37 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 05-27 06:36 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.42 |
| 05-23 22:39 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 05-20 21:26 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 05-20 21:26 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.459 | $4.59 |