PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x173bade797c8e8ac0862d307843c6bc9915244ad

Realised P&L
$3.51
Volume
$508.00
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$79.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4790.912$22.81+$10.82
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · No0.5000.905$9.96+$4.46
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7300.925$8.32+$1.75
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9260.964$7.71+$0.30
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7200.920$5.52+$1.20
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9460.979$4.89+$0.16
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No0.7800.962$4.81+$0.91
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9600.873$4.37$0.43
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8820.872$4.36$0.05
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2110.095$1.61$1.97
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2100.105$1.05$1.05
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1000.095$1.04$0.06
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1100.065$1.04$0.72
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1040.057$0.56$0.47
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1800.043$0.51$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 01:37Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.882$4.41
06-19 10:45Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.268$1.34
06-16 04:06Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.478$4.78
06-10 10:22Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.924$5.54
06-05 05:53Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.11$1.76
06-02 05:51Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$1.68
05-27 06:38Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.927$9.27
05-27 06:38Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.524$2.62
05-27 06:38Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.476$2.38
05-27 06:37Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.946$4.73
05-27 06:37US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.78$3.90
05-27 06:36US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.22$2.42
05-23 22:39Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$4.80
05-20 21:26Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1$1.10
05-20 21:26Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.459$4.59