0x173516ae13b47be650a6df996ec4ff2f24950319
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Markets traded
- 7,587
- Open portfolio
- $49.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,587
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.00at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?
- +$146.99at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?
- +$48.94at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?
- +$48.18at 0.079Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?
- +$30.27at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.97 | $3.78 |
| 09-12 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.57 |
| 09-12 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.27 |
| 09-11 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.33 |
| 09-11 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.28 |
| 09-11 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.57 |
| 09-11 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.1215966387 | $2.60 |
| 09-10 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.28 |
| 09-10 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.58 |
| 09-10 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10? | SELL | 0.079 | $0.44 |
| 09-09 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.54 |
| 09-08 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.73 |
| 09-08 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.86 |
| 09-08 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.26 |