PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x173516ae13b47be650a6df996ec4ff2f24950319

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$2.45M
Markets traded
7,587
Open portfolio
$49.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,587
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? · Yes0.0190.035$6.11+$2.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.0120.010$6.00$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.0100.025$5.09+$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.010$4.35$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.0300.035$3.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 19? · Yes0.0030.006$3.43+$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18? · Yes0.0500.065$2.87+$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 18? · Yes0.0020.005$2.45+$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0740.045$2.34$1.53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.0900.065$2.17$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.0200.020$2.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0020.004$1.99+$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0100.005$1.65$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.055$0.95+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.0700.085$0.91+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:59Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?SELL0.97$3.78
09-12 16:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 12?SELL0.99$3.57
09-12 05:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 12?SELL0.48$0.27
09-11 16:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11?SELL0.83$1.00
09-11 16:47Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?SELL0.93$3.33
09-11 07:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11?SELL0.51$0.28
09-11 07:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11?SELL0.51$0.57
09-11 03:26Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?BUY0.1215966387$2.60
09-10 21:26Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 11?SELL0.48$0.28
09-10 21:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 11?SELL0.49$0.58
09-10 05:39Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?SELL0.079$0.44
09-09 04:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?BUY0.23$3.54
09-08 14:21Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 8?SELL0.9$1.73
09-08 14:21Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 8?SELL0.99$1.86
09-08 06:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?SELL0.41$0.26