xiuyaxiu
0x172d472f2e337c061e684eb90b8bca1fd8a636ca
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $103.4k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $0.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.006 | $0.33 | −$5.97 |
| Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.006 | $0.30 | −$6.70 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.932 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Solana reach $180 in July? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.00 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.11 |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.63at 0.535Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
- +$98.00at 0.510Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.00at 0.500Will Dittman tweet between 60 and 69 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$38.00at 0.500Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 49.0% and 49.4% on February 21?
- +$37.50at 0.500Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 08:15 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 07-31 04:09 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 07-30 09:01 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-30 09:01 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.369 | $18.45 |
| 07-30 01:48 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.132 | $6.60 |
| 07-28 06:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.76 |
| 07-28 06:27 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 07-28 06:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 07-28 04:58 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.231 | $3.47 |
| 07-28 04:31 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.241 | $1.21 |
| 07-28 01:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 07-28 01:05 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 08:39 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $26.40 |
| 07-27 08:39 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.182 | $9.10 |
| 07-26 07:25 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.204 | $10.20 |