PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xiuyaxiu

0x172d472f2e337c061e684eb90b8bca1fd8a636ca

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$103.4k
Markets traded
209
Open portfolio
$0.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded209
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1260.006$0.33$5.97
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.1400.006$0.30$6.70
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$7.50
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.9320.000$0.00$42.00
Will Solana reach $180 in July? · No0.7200.000$0.00$60.00
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$98.00
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$30.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$72.00
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$3.11
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$103.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 08:15Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$2.60
07-31 04:09Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.63$12.60
07-30 09:01Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.15$7.50
07-30 09:01Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.369$18.45
07-30 01:48Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?SELL0.132$6.60
07-28 06:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.13$2.76
07-28 06:27Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.38$7.60
07-28 06:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?SELL0.26$13.00
07-28 04:58Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.231$3.47
07-28 04:31Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.241$1.21
07-28 01:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.07$3.50
07-28 01:05Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.6$12.00
07-27 08:39Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$26.40
07-27 08:39Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.182$9.10
07-26 07:25Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.204$10.20