Colbydfg
0x1727bd269d82b00705acc2b09d4b7703f4ca2d14
- Realised P&L
- $37.28
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $82.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thailand win on 2026-08-18? · No | 0.320 | 1.000 | $30.00 | +$20.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.620 | 1.000 | $27.40 | +$10.41 |
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.455 | $25.48 | +$0.28 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.34 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.84 |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5) · K27 | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.55 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.85at 0.500Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$168.31at 0.500Will Wydad AC win the FIFA Club World Cup?
- +$168.26at 0.500Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$167.02at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$160.36at 0.500Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:39 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $25.20 |
| 09-05 05:46 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $15.84 |
| 08-18 11:49 | Will Thailand win on 2026-08-18? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 08-05 01:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.62 | $16.99 |
| 07-20 09:08 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.58 | $15.08 |
| 07-07 09:21 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.34 |
| 06-24 05:54 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.96 |
| 06-24 05:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 06-24 05:54 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.00 |
| 06-24 05:53 | Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $24.67 |
| 05-22 12:26 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.59 | $16.34 |
| 05-12 02:32 | Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.88 |
| 05-12 02:27 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.995 | $47.95 |
| 05-12 02:27 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 05-12 02:26 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.996 | $48.00 |