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0x17228b1AE1ce5288F3D485db83461b6292D0165A-1773301947975

0x17228b1ae1ce5288f3d485db83461b6292d0165a

Realised P&L
$-308.46
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$82.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · Yes0.3201.000$20.00+$13.60
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? · No0.5401.000$18.69+$8.60
Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes0.1800.205$11.71+$1.43
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.7800.954$10.95+$1.99
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8800.955$7.64+$0.60
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.125$4.58$0.55
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7180.124$4.46$21.37
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.4800.280$2.92$2.08
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6220.145$0.99$3.26
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0340.042$0.21+$0.04
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026? · No0.4100.000$0.00$3.46
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$4.80
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$5.38
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$14.00
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026? · No0.2280.000$0.00$15.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 00:20North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5BUY0.5$2.48
03-19 00:20North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5BUY0.5$2.48
03-18 21:34Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)SELL0.5$2.50
03-18 21:34Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)SELL0.5$2.50
03-18 21:34Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)BUY0.51$2.53
03-18 21:34Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)BUY0.51$2.53
03-18 21:34Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)SELL0.5$2.50
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)BUY0.51$2.53
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)SELL0.5$2.50
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)BUY0.51$2.53
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)SELL0.5$2.50
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)BUY0.51$2.53
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)SELL0.5$2.50
03-18 21:33North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5BUY0.5$2.48
03-18 21:33Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)BUY0.51$2.53
Trader 0x17228b1AE1ce5288F3D485db83461b6292D0165A-1773301947975 · PolyBot