PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x171f022d315b03977a301ce80c32fe6c2cc35229

0x171f022d315b03977a301ce80c32fe6c2cc35229

Realised P&L
$-10.60
Volume
$157.57
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$2.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2400.255$1.06+$0.06
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? · Yes0.3100.280$0.90−$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.3700.018$0.05−$0.95
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2300.001$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 03:42Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-05 18:30Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-02 03:54Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-01 18:14Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-01 10:12Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?BUY0.7$1.00
09-27 12:07Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-27 03:14Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.3029999112$1.00
09-26 19:11Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-26 07:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-23 08:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-19 23:21Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.74$1.48
08-13 05:17US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.25$2.00
08-06 08:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
08-06 00:00Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-05 15:58Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6699999196$2.00