silentblue
0x171eda69c3857c363f38c954e20dc9039d7be046
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $81.3k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $725.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.545 | $201.65 | +$90.65 |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? · No | 0.634 | 0.915 | $179.42 | +$55.04 |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.625 | $173.61 | +$73.61 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.531 | 0.900 | $136.88 | +$56.08 |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? · No | 0.541 | 0.485 | $33.19 | −$3.85 |
| Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.444 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.78at 0.471Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?
- +$222.56at 0.100Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
- +$169.99at 0.370US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?
- +$165.09at 0.544Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
- +$156.97at 0.389Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 06:52 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? | BUY | 0.7101063826 | $89.00 |
| 10-24 06:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $88.91 |
| 10-24 04:38 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 00:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999995 | $90.00 |
| 10-23 05:42 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? | BUY | 0.5233870779 | $11.00 |
| 10-22 02:27 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? | BUY | 0.5446153715 | $12.00 |
| 10-20 12:57 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 15:37 | Paris curfew by October 19? | BUY | 0.6891812344 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 07:51 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 00:00 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $0.05 |
| 10-17 15:40 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 03:06 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 04:37 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | SELL | 0.996 | $300.27 |
| 10-16 01:54 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | SELL | 0.995 | $58.96 |
| 10-15 13:42 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6749379639 | $40.00 |