PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

silentblue

0x171eda69c3857c363f38c954e20dc9039d7be046

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$81.3k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$725.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? · Yes0.3000.545$201.65+$90.65
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? · No0.6340.915$179.42+$55.04
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · Yes0.3600.625$173.61+$73.61
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? · No0.5310.900$136.88+$56.08
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? · No0.5410.485$33.19−$3.85
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? · No0.4900.444$0.91−$0.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00−$100.00
US x China tariff agreement by May 31? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? · Yes0.5650.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 06:52Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?BUY0.7101063826$89.00
10-24 06:49NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$88.91
10-24 04:38Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-24 00:08NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999995$90.00
10-23 05:42Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?BUY0.5233870779$11.00
10-22 02:27Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?BUY0.5446153715$12.00
10-20 12:57US imports Russian diesel by December 31?BUY0.3599999997$100.00
10-19 15:37Paris curfew by October 19?BUY0.6891812344$100.00
10-18 07:51Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?BUY0.609999986$10.00
10-18 00:00Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?BUY0.45$0.05
10-17 15:40Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?BUY0.4499999944$4.00
10-17 03:06Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$50.00
10-16 04:37Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?SELL0.996$300.27
10-16 01:54Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?SELL0.995$58.96
10-15 13:42Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.6749379639$40.00