PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x171ea122d97b8df4563c2c6ef447424910923647

Realised P&L
$4.90
Volume
$666.00
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$2.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2160.095$1.61$2.05
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.105$0.73$0.45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2100.075$0.45$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 19:08Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.851$4.25
07-05 10:38Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.78$3.90
07-01 05:34Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$5.40
06-21 21:40Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.60
06-18 08:03China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$5.04
06-17 15:35Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$1.19
06-01 13:43Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.925$5.55
06-01 13:43Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$13.09
06-01 13:42Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$2.07
06-01 13:42China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.966$4.83
04-23 08:23U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.79$5.53
04-23 08:23Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.83$4.98
04-23 08:23Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.07$1.61
04-23 08:23Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.79$10.27
04-23 08:23Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$3.15