0x171e2d1fb37d93502f98a0470b02d18296eccdd9
0x171e2d1fb37d93502f98a0470b02d18296eccdd9
- Realised P&L
- $-0.81
- Volume
- $177.76
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Aurora Gaming | 0.690 | 0.685 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · PARIVISION | 0.520 | 0.515 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Natus Vincere | 0.480 | 0.475 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs · Astralis | 0.630 | 0.615 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Eritrea win on 2026-09-30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.73at 0.480Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$3.02at 0.584Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
- +$1.76at 0.501Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs
- +$1.59at 0.386Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?
- +$1.31at 0.449Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:17 | Will Eritrea win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:04 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:02 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:02 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:00 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 23:06 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:09 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.13 |
| 09-28 18:27 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999876 | $7.27 |
| 09-28 10:38 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.549999945 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 21:17 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.77 |
| 09-27 12:28 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6899999914 | $7.23 |
| 09-27 08:50 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:48 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:41 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:40 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |