PolyBot

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Traders

0x171c55df7ab328b5c5e654f1051db76d002ed929

0x171c55df7ab328b5c5e654f1051db76d002ed929

Realised P&L
$5.99
Volume
$385.08
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$9.08

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3500.650$1.86+$0.86
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No0.8000.864$1.08+$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.7100.745$1.05+$0.05
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · Yes0.3200.330$1.03+$0.03
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · Yes0.4800.475$0.99−$0.01
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2400.230$0.96−$0.04
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · Yes0.3800.340$0.89−$0.11
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.395$0.88−$0.12
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2800.095$0.34−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:40Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.32$1.00
10-10 21:35Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-10 13:28Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-10 04:56Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-09 19:32Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-09 11:28Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:28Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:28Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-08 07:55Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-08 07:55Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7349999228$1.00
10-07 23:55Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7039998536$1.00
10-07 15:55Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-07 15:44Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-07 07:37Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-07 07:37Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00