bostezo
0x17105a9bc5de23fef10029ae3f4d41e8fd4a3344
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $542.2k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.091 | $627.26 | −$150.57 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.075 | 0.095 | $420.19 | +$86.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.524Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?
- +$1.9kat 0.351Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.471Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?
- +$1.7kat 0.403Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?
- +$1.2kat 0.431Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:51 | Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1196575529 | $664.21 |
| 10-23 16:29 | Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.68 |
| 10-23 16:29 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $224.47 |
| 10-04 21:30 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.0283605903 | $15.34 |
| 10-04 21:29 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.028 | $39.51 |
| 10-04 19:40 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0796055653 | $255.84 |
| 08-25 22:31 | Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? | BUY | 0.0842124376 | $12.99 |
| 08-25 22:31 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.09 |
| 08-22 00:47 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 08-22 00:31 | Will Trump say "North Carolina" during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.95 |
| 08-22 00:28 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 00:28 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 00:28 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 08-22 00:06 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.2994339623 | $31.74 |
| 08-21 23:53 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.2121759471 | $97.51 |