PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Quickwater

0x170baa1e6749b685edea7da6932b4bf83f023d20

Realised P&L
$-10.0k
Volume
$40.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$10.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-24.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026? · No0.3070.530$5.18+$2.18
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? · No0.2300.295$2.95+$0.65
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? · New Hampshire0.2400.230$2.30−$0.10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00−$2.68
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia · Germany0.7300.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Warriors (-9.5) · Trail Blazers0.4900.000$0.00−$3.0k
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 · Under0.4500.000$0.00−$50.00
Pacers vs. Magic · Magic0.8800.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5 · Under0.4800.000$0.00−$2.0k
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00−$2.5k
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak · Otto Virtanen0.6950.000$0.00−$7.00
Spread: Warriors (-10.5) · Trail Blazers0.5200.000$0.00−$7.4k
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$1.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 06:15Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?BUY0.3069999991$3.00
10-26 06:14Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?BUY0.23$2.30
10-26 06:13Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?BUY0.24$2.40
10-25 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSELL0.01$0.02
10-25 14:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4299998882$1.00
07-23 10:47Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.268$2.68
07-23 10:47Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.116$1.16
07-23 10:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.299999925$2.00
07-23 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.1699999422$2.00
07-23 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSELL0.65$5.91
07-23 10:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
07-23 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.55$7.64
07-23 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00
07-23 10:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.46$6.96
07-23 10:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.229999916$2.00