ASDF506
0x1701f026d504634a90e39eba441dbae86a21b483
- Realised P&L
- $-204.38
- Volume
- $38.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $34.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.950 | 0.966 | $34.27 | +$0.57 |
| Penguins vs. Predators · Penguins | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.56at 0.909Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.22at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.71at 0.948Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.27at 0.910Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
- +$1.11at 0.940Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:27 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9499999789 | $33.70 |
| 09-28 01:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9914672704 | $33.50 |
| 09-27 14:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9949999906 | $33.30 |
| 09-25 08:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999995 | $32.90 |
| 09-21 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9209999995 | $30.50 |
| 09-18 12:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9779999881 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 12:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $36.20 |
| 08-19 03:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $36.00 |
| 08-18 01:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.60 |
| 08-17 03:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $35.20 |
| 08-16 04:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.90 |
| 08-15 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.60 |
| 08-14 03:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.9809999911 | $34.00 |
| 08-13 02:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9839999998 | $33.50 |
| 08-12 00:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.988 | $33.10 |