PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

prophiteer

0x17006297920517071f08a638b619b604b7957496

Realised P&L
$-15.83
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$19.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.2970.215$14.46$5.54
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.2200.095$1.73$2.27
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.2110.150$1.42$0.58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.2200.060$1.36$3.64
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · Yes0.0930.022$0.24$0.76
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.2700.021$0.08$0.92
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$2.00
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$1.00
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? · No0.2800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:15Rippling IPO before 2027?SELL0.07$0.50
09-14 21:14Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.2$5.00
09-14 21:12Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
09-14 21:11Rippling IPO before 2027?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-14 21:11Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.12$1.09
09-14 21:05Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.2$5.00
06-21 00:46Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.003522525$1.00
06-21 00:46Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0080201672$1.00
06-21 00:46Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0307380659$2.00
06-21 00:45Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-21 00:45Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-21 00:44Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?BUY0.0929999171$1.00
06-21 00:42Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0584331441$1.00
06-21 00:42Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-21 00:40Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0636363069$1.00