prophiteer
0x17006297920517071f08a638b619b604b7957496
- Realised P&L
- $-15.83
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $19.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.19at 0.073Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$9.34at 0.140AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
- +$8.53at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$6.26at 0.337Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$3.39at 0.252Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:15 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 21:14 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:12 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:11 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:11 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.09 |
| 09-14 21:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 00:46 | Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.003522525 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:46 | Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0080201672 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:46 | Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0307380659 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 00:45 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:45 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:44 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | BUY | 0.0929999171 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:42 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0584331441 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:42 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 00:40 | Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0636363069 | $1.00 |