jasminab
0x16fc6ca75c2a05d6e8c172b67d073a785b42b07b
- Realised P&L
- $-26.30
- Volume
- $790.57
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.027 | $8.90 | −$17.47 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.93 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.00at 0.350Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$5.82at 0.590Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.62at 0.736Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
- +$0.54at 0.903Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
- +$0.43at 0.700Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 06:02 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.97 |
| 09-13 12:43 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999747 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 12:42 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0609999986 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 13:21 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 13:21 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.20 |
| 08-29 06:55 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999891 | $11.98 |
| 07-24 20:16 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.3299999931 | $16.82 |
| 07-23 19:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $17.06 |
| 07-17 20:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5799999852 | $11.00 |
| 07-17 20:27 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $12.06 |
| 07-05 21:19 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $15.93 |
| 07-01 06:48 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 21:20 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999936 | $16.00 |
| 06-01 21:20 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.94 | $10.07 |
| 06-01 21:20 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.78 |